The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marsaskala 32.9%
Draw 26.5%
Mtarfa 40.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
27%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
23.5%
44.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaskala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Mtarfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaskala than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mtarfa than the current prediction. (+4%)
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group)).
Marsaskala has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Mtarfa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Our prediction for today's Mtarfa to win the game is with odds 2.27.