Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 1

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Marsaskala		Lija Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.7	1.72
	3.5	3.95	1.75
	3.51	4.22	1.75
	3.9	3.92	1.7
	3.5	3.95	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.93)	3.95 ↑ (3.87)	1.73 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsaskala
24.9%

Draw
22.9%

Lija Athletic
52.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

23.3%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

22.1%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsaskala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marsaskala's form might have worsened.

Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lija Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaskala than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 11 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Marsaskala is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lija Athletic is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lija Athletic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marsaskala won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Marsaskala won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsaskala FC
Maltese Challenge League
08.01.23	Marsaskala - San Ġwann	1:2 ✺
22.12.22	Mqabba - Marsaskala	3:3 ✺
18.12.22	Marsaskala - Zejtun Corinthians	0:1 ✺
15.12.22	Qrendi - Marsaskala	2:3 ✺
11.12.22	Marsaskala - Marsa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLWT
- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
08.01.23	Żurrieq - Lija Athletic	5:1 ✺
20.12.22	Lija Athletic - Swieqi United	2:2 ✺
16.12.22	Naxxar Lions - Lija Athletic	3:2 ✺
13.12.22	Melita - Lija Athletic	2:2 ✺
08.12.22	Lija Athletic - San Ġwann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
03.09.22	Marsaskala - Lija Athletic	2:4

Marsaskala - Lija Athletic

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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