Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 15

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Guarda FC		Marco 09

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.1	1.87
	3.95	3.2	1.88
	4.08	3.26	1.83
	3.95	3.2	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.18)	3.19 ↑ (2.97)	1.87 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarda FC
23.1%

Draw
28.4%

Marco 09
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

30.5%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

30.1%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarda FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarda FC's form might have worsened.

Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco 09's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda FC than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarda FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco 09, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guarda FC - Marco 09 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Recent matches Guarda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marco is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Marco is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guarda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarda FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.01.25	Camacha - Guarda FC	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Régua - Guarda FC	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Guarda FC - Leça	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Beira-Mar - Guarda FC	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Guarda FC - Machico	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLTWW
- AD Marco 09
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.01.25	Marco 09 - Salgueiros 08	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Marco 09 - União Lamas	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Gondomar - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Marco 09 - Marítimo B	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Cinfães - Marco 09	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
25.08.24	Marco 09 - Guarda FC	4:0

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