The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mashal Mubarek 8.4%
Draw 16.3%
Navbahor Namangan 75.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.8%
20.2%
69%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.5%
19.7%
70.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mashal Mubarek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Navbahor Namangan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Navbahor Namangan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mashal Mubarek than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Mashal Mubarek - Navbahor Namangan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Jurabekov S. (G) 28. Ismoilov E. 22. Muydinov M. 19. Tukhtasinov T. 63. Bureev P. 70. Choriyev A. 88. Rakhimov A. 5. Tozhidinov K. 8. Abduraymov S. (C) 13. Nuriddinov N. 11. Jurabaev M.
1. Yusupov U. (G) 21. Rakhimzhonov A. 5. Komilov D. 4. Mamatkazin I. 55. Khamraliev M. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 7. Jiyanov R. 8. Xolmatov R. 77. Usmonov M. 30. Jaloliddinov J. 11. Norchaev K.
Substitutes
18. Abduganiev I. 77. Abdulkhakov I. 2. Akramov Z. 4. Bosnjak S. 50. Bumbar D. 76. Jovliyev F. 72. Kocharov N. 10. Murtazoev K. 73. Rusanov V. (G)
6. Abdurakhmonov S. 97. Alex Fernandes 44. Chichinadze A. 23. Ilic V. 34. Jgerenaia G. 13. Teidi B. 16. Yuldashev S. (G)
Coaches
Surov I.
Kapadze T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Jaloliddinov J. ⚽, Rakhimzhonov A. (A),
31', Bureev P. 🟨,
43', Tozhidinov K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Rakhimzhonov A. 🟨,
59', Abduraymov S. ↓, Akramov Z. ↑,
59', Muydinov M. ↓, Kocharov N. ↑,
65', Choriyev A. ↓, Bosnjak S. ↑,
65', Bureev P. ↓, Bumbar D. ↑,
66', Xolmatov R. ↓, Ilic V. ↑,
66', Usmonov M. ↓, Abdurakhmonov S. ↑,
66', Adkhamzoda U. ↓, Jgerenaia G. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Abdurakhmonov S. ⚽,
71', Jurabaev M. 🟨,
74', Tukhtasinov T. ↓, Abdulkhakov I. ↑,
76', Mamatkazin I. 🟨,
78', Jiyanov R. ↓, Teidi B. ↑,
78', Jaloliddinov J. ↓, Alex Fernandes ↑,
86', Nuriddinov N. 🟨,
88', Alex Fernandes 🟨,
90', Bosnjak S. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mashal won 0.
Mashal is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Navbahor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Navbahor is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Navbahor will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mashal won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Mashal won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).