Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Surkhon (Termez)

Referee: Rahmonov D. (Uzb)


	Surkhon Termez		Navbahor Namangan

	1	X	2
	4.6	4	1.52
	4.65	3.70	1.60
	4.97	3.96	1.62
	4.49	3.75	1.67	Watch
	4.85	3.75	1.58
	4.78	3.97	1.64
	4.70	3.75	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (4.12)	3.84 ↑ (3.29)	1.61 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surkhon Termez
19.3%

Draw
23.8%

Navbahor Namangan
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

28.4%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Navbahor Namangan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Navbahor Namangan's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Navbahor (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Navbahor Namangan will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Navbahor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
86. Merganov D. (G) 66. Shaydulov B. 26. Shukurullaev B. 6. Shamsiev B. 31. Ergashev K. 21. Dzebniauri T. 91. Temirkhanov A. 32. Rahimjonov B. 15. Ramazonov D. 7. Tursunov D. 11. Friday R.	1. Yusupov U. (G) 22. Adkhamzoda U. 34. Jgerenaia G. 4. Mamatkazin I. 12. Mirsaidov S. 8. Kholmatov D. 13. Teidi B. 17. Jiyanov R. 23. Ilic V. 77. Usmonov M. 18. Norchaev K.
Substitutes
17. Abdukhamidov S. 14. Ashuboyev T. 25. Boymurodov O. (G) 19. Kodirov F. 39. Mirusmonov M. 27. Musaxonov M. 8. Sherbutaev K. 18. Uktamov B.	6. Abdurakhmonov S. 11. Giyosov M. 30. Jaloliddinov J. 28. Kojo J. 5. Komilov D. 3. Rakhimjonov Z. 21. Rakhimzhonov A. 20. Ruziev K. 16. Yuldashev S. (G)
Coaches
Gafurov A.	Kapadze T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Teidi B. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Mamatkazin I. 🟨,
45', Ergashev K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramazonov D. ↓, Sherbutaev K. ↑,
46', Ergashev K. ↓, Musaxonov M. ↑,
61', 🟨,
62', Rahimjonov B. ↓, Ashuboyev T. ↑,
63', Friday R. ↓, Mirusmonov M. ↑,
66', Usmonov M. ↓, Giyosov M. ↑,
66', Ilic V. ↓, Abdurakhmonov S. ↑,
76', Abdurakhmonov S. 🟨,
78', Norchaev K. ↓, Kojo J. ↑,
79', Adkhamzoda U. 🟨,
80', Temirkhanov A. ↓, Solijonov S. ↑,
84', Shamsiev B. 🟨,
90+2', Teidi B. ↓, Rakhimzhonov A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 1.

In this match, Navbahor is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 0.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Surkhon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Navbahor Namangan	22	13	5	4	39:21	18	44
12	Termez Surkhon	22	7	5	10	19:28	-9	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surkhon Termez
Uzbek League
03.08.26	Kokand 1912 - Surkhon Termez	0:1 ✺
28.07.26	Xorazm Urganch - Surkhon Termez	1:0 ✺
23.07.26	Surkhon Termez - Dinamo Samarqand	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Andijan - Surkhon Termez	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WLLWT
- Navbahor Namangan
Uzbek League
02.08.26	Navbahor Namangan - Xorazm Urganch	5:1 ✺
28.07.26	Neftchi Fargona - Navbahor Namangan	1:1 ✺
23.07.26	Navbahor Namangan - Qizilqum	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Navbahor Namangan - AGMK	2:3 ✺
04.05.26	Nasaf Qarshi - Navbahor Namangan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
12.04.26	Navbahor Namangan - Surkhon Termez	2:0
12.09.25	Navbahor Namangan - Surkhon Termez	0:0
21.04.25	Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan	1:0
26.08.24	Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan	0:1
31.03.24	Navbahor Namangan - Surkhon Termez	2:2
27.10.23	Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan	1:2
Uzbek Cup
03.09.23	Navbahor Namangan - Surkhon Termez	2:0

Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide