Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 20

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Lake Tanganyika Stadium (Kigoma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Mashujaa		TRA United

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.88	2.68
	2.53	3.03	2.59
	2.59	3.1	2.64	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.63
	2.55	2.96	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.05)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	2.63 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mashujaa
35.1%

Draw
30.6%

TRA United
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

31.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

31.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mashujaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

TRA United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mashujaa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mashujaa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TRA United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Mashujaa - TRA United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Munthali P. (G) 10. Lyanga D. 27. Madeleke S. 13. Mgandila S. 66. Mgunda I. 22. Mhagama C. 7. Mohamed A. 20. Mwakinyuke M. 4. Onditi S. 25. Salum M. 17. Vuai M.	1. Amonome J. (G) 30. Akandwanaho J. 10. Chilunda S. 14. Dulazi J. 32. Karaboue C. 22. Lazarus J. 21. Nganzi A. 45. Nouma V. 11. Salum R. 4. Tebandeke C. 33. Yassin M.
Substitutes
37. Bakari A. 11. Balama M. 14. Haji H. 9. Hussein J. 18. Johola E. (G) 19. Kibaya J. 6. Mtuwi B. 21. Shaban N. 28. Uromi D. 33. Yusuph K.	70. Abbas M. 39. Bakari F. (G) 28. Chewe C. 35. Emanuel I. 5. Kombo N. 68. Misati J. 6. Mugoya K. 40. Nkane D. 27. Songoro A. 36. Yusufu O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Mgunda I. ⚽,
40', Onditi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nganzi A. ↓, Chewe C. ↑,
46', Chilunda S. ↓, Mugoya K. ↑,
60', Vuai M. ↓, Shaban N. ↑,
60', Lyanga D. ↓, Mtuwi B. ↑,
62', Chewe C. ↓, Songoro A. ↑,
67', Munthali P. 🟨,
68', Karaboue C. 🟨,
70', Mgandila S. ↓, Balama M. ↑,
83', Nouma V. ↓, Nkane D. ↑,
89', Mhagama C. ↓, Yusuph K. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).

In recent matches, Mashujaa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

TRA United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

TRA United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Mashujaa has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mashujaa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mashujaa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Mashujaa	6	3	0	3	6:6	0	9
12	TRA United	6	1	3	2	6:6	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mashujaa FC
Tanzanian Premier League
30.04.26	Mbeya City - Mashujaa	0:0 ✺
16.04.26	Mashujaa - Singida Black Stars	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Mashujaa - Pamba	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	Mashujaa - Azam	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Mashujaa - Singida Fountain Gate	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTTT
- TRA United
Tanzanian Premier League
01.05.26	Prisons - TRA United	0:3 ✺
17.04.26	TRA United - Pamba	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Federation Cup
12.04.26	Namungo - TRA United	0:2 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
09.04.26	TRA United - Simba	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	TRA United - Singida Black Stars	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
10.04.25	Mashujaa - TRA United	3:0
04.11.24	TRA United - Mashujaa	1:0
12.05.24	TRA United - Mashujaa	1:0
05.12.23	Mashujaa - TRA United	1:1

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