Match Info

Date: 21 March 2021, Sunday


	Matelica		Fermana

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.8
	1.78	3.1	4.4
	1.9	3.3	3.5
	1.88	2.8	4.3
	1.91	3.12	4.58
	1.95	2.9	4.5
	1.89	3.13	4.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)	3.11 ↓ (3.27)	4.21 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matelica
48.8%

Draw
29.5%

Fermana
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.6%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

22.2%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matelica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matelica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Matelica - Fermana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 13).

Matelica in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fermana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fermana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Matelica is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Matelica won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Matelica won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
17.03.21	Cesena - Matelica	2:2 ✺
14.03.21	Matelica - Padova	4:1 ✺
07.03.21	Matelica - Legnago Salus	5:1 ✺
03.03.21	Ravenna - Matelica	0:1 ✺
27.02.21	Matelica - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TWWWW
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
16.03.21	Fermana - Triestina	2:2 ✺
13.03.21	Arezzo - Fermana	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Fano - Fermana	1:1 ✺
03.03.21	Fermana - Cesena	2:1 ✺
28.02.21	Carpi - Fermana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.20	Fermana - Matelica	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.03.17	Fermana - Matelica	2:1
23.11.16	Matelica - Fermana	3:0

Matelica - Fermana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide