Match Info
Date: 28 February 2021, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Carpi |
|
Fermana |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.21 |
2.9 |
3.15 |
|
 |
2.31 |
3.23 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.23 |
3.16 |
3.16 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.11) |
3.14 ↓
(3.18) |
3.15 ↑
(3.14) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Carpi
41.7% | Draw
29.2% | Fermana
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carpi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+12.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fermana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Carpi - Fermana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 13). Carpi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Fermana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Fermana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Carpi will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Carpi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-1. Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
