The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matese 39.8%
Draw 29.2%
Montegiorgio 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
30.5%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
29%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Montegiorgio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matese than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montegiorgio than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out)).
Matese is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Montegiorgio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Montegiorgio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Matese have a series of guest games.
Matese will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Matese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Matese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
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