Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 11

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Sambenedettese		Matese

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.33	8
	1.32	4.46	7.65
	1.33	4.46	7.65
	1.29	4	8.5
	1.31	4.55	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.53)	4.36 ↑ (3.68)	8.04 ↑ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
68.2%

Draw
20.6%

Matese
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

24.7%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

24%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sambenedettese's performance.

Matese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sambenedettese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matese than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Sambenedettese - Matese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Sambenedettese is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Matese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sambenedettese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sambenedettese is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sambenedettese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.11.23	Notaresco - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
01.11.23	Sambenedettese - Termoli	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	Real Monterotondo - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Sambenedettese - United Riccione	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Fano - Sambenedettese	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWWL
- FC Matese
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.11.23	Matese - Avezzano	0:1 ✺
01.11.23	Fossombrone - Matese	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Matese - Sora	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Fano - Matese	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Matese - Roma City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
16.04.23	Matese - Sambenedettese	1:2
04.12.22	Sambenedettese - Matese	1:2
10.04.22	Sambenedettese - Matese	3:2
28.11.21	Matese - Sambenedettese	3:1

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