Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 10

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday


	Matonense		Joseense

	1	X	2
	6.6	4.2	1.41
	6.43	4.34	1.39
	6.55	4.5	1.4	Watch
	6.58	4.6	1.37
	6.6	4.2	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↓ (7.63)	4.37 ↑ (3.83)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matonense
13.9%

Draw
20.9%

Joseense
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

23.8%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4%

22.9%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Joseense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joseense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Matonense - Joseense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Kevin Emmel ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Erick ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Neco E. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Matonense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Joseense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Matonense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Joseense is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Joseense to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Matonense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
22.02.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Matonense	3:2 ✺
19.02.25	União Barbarense - Matonense	3:0 ✺
12.02.25	Matonense - Taquaritinga	0:4 ✺
02.02.25	Matonense - Colorado Caieiras	0:5 ✺
29.01.25	Araçatuba - Matonense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CA Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
23.02.25	Paulista - Joseense	1:0 ✺
18.02.25	Joseense - Jabaquara	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Colorado Caieiras - Joseense	0:0 ✺
12.02.25	União Barbarense - Joseense	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Joseense - Penapolense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTTW

Matonense - Joseense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide