Match Info

AUSTRIA: Regionalliga East - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday


	Mauerwerk		Kremser

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	1.98
	3.1	3.45	2.05
	2.94	3.57	2.15
	2.94	3.64	2.11	Watch
	3	3.5	1.95
	2.96	3.48	2.11
	3.1	3.45	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.4)	3.5 ↓ (3.75)	2.06 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mauerwerk
30%

Draw
25.9%

Kremser
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

23.8%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

23.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mauerwerk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mauerwerk's form might have worsened.

Kremser has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kremser's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mauerwerk than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mauerwerk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kremser than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kremser, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mauerwerk - Kremser Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Starkl D. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Vielgut L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 3, Vielgut L. ⚽,
63', Najdovski L. 🟥,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).

Mauerwerk is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kremser is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mauerwerk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mauerwerk won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Mauerwerk won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 3.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mauerwerk
Austrian Regionalliga East
05.10.24	Marchfeld Mannsdorf - Mauerwerk	5:0 ✺
27.09.24	Mauerwerk - Neusiedl am See	0:3 ✺
24.09.24	Mauerwerk - Wiener	2:3 ✺
21.09.24	Donaufeld Wien - Mauerwerk	2:2 ✺
06.09.24	Gloggnitz - Mauerwerk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTT
- Kremser SC
Austrian Regionalliga East
01.10.24	Austria Wien II - Kremser	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	TWL Elektra - Kremser	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Kremser - Leobendorf	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	Kremser - Oberwart	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Kremser - Favoritner	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga East
09.03.24	Mauerwerk - Kremser	2:2
11.08.23	Kremser - Mauerwerk	3:0
18.04.23	Kremser - Mauerwerk	2:1
24.09.22	Mauerwerk - Kremser	5:0

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