The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mazatlan 55.4%
Draw 24.5%
Necaxa 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
26.2%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
24.8%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mazatlan's performance.
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Necaxa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mazatlan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Necaxa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Mazatlan - Necaxa Predictions
Users Predictions:
Mazatlan will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mazatlan will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Solera D. (G) 26. Canseco Bracamontes M. F. 18. De Leon K. 5. Delgado V. 7. Garcia D. 23. Gonzalez A. 21. Herrera C. 9. Lawal T. 11. Martinez A. 16. Sanchez V. 14. Zavaleta R.
25. Amaro J. (G) 21. Barnett J. 11. Fernandez I. 77. Herbert N. 14. Lizeth Quiroz Tinoco T. 52. Medellin Z. 20. Mendez A. 8. Michell De La Torre Lopez M. 23. Navarro Flores A. A. 9. Peralta W. 17. Torres A.
Coaches
Morales N.
Astorga C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
7', Sanchez V. 🟨,
7', Mendez A. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Herrera C. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Lawal T. ⚽,
45+2', 4 - 0, Garcia D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Michell De La Torre Lopez M. ↓, Salto P. ↑,
70', Gonzalez A. ↓, Maria Aleman Mayoral B. ↑,
70', Lawal T. ↓, Eleanor Ortiz L. ↑,
70', De Leon K. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
71', Mendez A. ↓, Porras S. ↑,
79', Medellin Z. 🟥,
82', 5 - 0, Eleanor Ortiz L. ⚽,
82', Lopez A. ↓, Cruz Hernandez A. Y. ↑,
82', Herrera C. ↓, Espinosa L. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 3.
Mazatlan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Necaxa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Necaxa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Mazatlan is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
Mexico
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Solera D. (G) 
Canseco Bracamontes M. F. 
Delgado V. 
Lawal T. 
Martinez A. 
Peralta W. 
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