Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Tubi TV


	Mazatlan		Puebla

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.45	2.45
	2.54	3.69	2.5
	6.86	4.17	1.45	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.38
	2.44	3.46	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.63)	3.63 ↑ (3.35)	2.24 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazatlan
29.3%

Draw
27%

Puebla
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

27.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

26.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mazatlan's form might have worsened.

Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puebla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Mazatlan - Puebla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Solera D. (G) 15. Alday M. 21. Bastidas Tirado I. L. 5. Delgado V. 7. Garcia D. (C) 9. Lawal T. 3. Maria Aleman Mayoral B. 6. Ramos J. 2. Rios Ortiz R. I. 4. Velazquez R. 14. Zavaleta R.	1. Machuca Rubio S. G. (G) 26. De Alba L. 6. Fernandez L. 3. Garcia M. 15. Gonzalez J. 17. Madrid Y. 16. Martinez D. 12. Martinez L. 4. Sanchez L. 25. Suarez P. 21. Villegas Aguilar R. I. (C)
Substitutes
10. Cesane N. 17. Cruz Hernandez A. Y. 8. Eleanor Ortiz L. 30. Espinosa L. 23. Gonzalez A. 12. Hernandez E. (G) 66. Ramirez K. 24. Rodriguez R. 16. Tirado H. 18. Zuniga Sanchez A. G.	11. Desales M. 18. Gonzalez J. 22. Lopez Roque I. S. 8. Oviedo A. J. 19. Perez P. (G) 30. Solis J. 2. Vivanco Escamilla S. X.
Coaches
Rodriguez Aleman M.	Morales C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Delgado V. (Own goal),
9', Bastidas Tirado I. L. 🟨,
10', Madrid Y. 🟨,
39', Lawal T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lawal T. ↓, Cesane N. ↑,
46', Bastidas Tirado I. L. ↓, Eleanor Ortiz L. ↑,
51', Alday M. 🟨,
52', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
59', Sanchez L. 🟨,
69', Suarez P. ↓, Vivanco Escamilla S. X. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Cesane N. ⚽,
79', Vivanco Escamilla S. X. 🟨,
84', Maria Aleman Mayoral B. ↓, Espinosa L. ↑,
90', Rios Ortiz R. I. ↓, Tirado H. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 2.

Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.

Puebla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazatlan FC Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
08.08.25	Monterrey - Mazatlan	5:0 ✺
01.08.25	Tigres UANL - Mazatlan	5:0 ✺
28.07.25	Mazatlan - Pachuca	0:9 ✺
19.07.25	Mazatlan - Club León	1:3 ✺
11.07.25	Necaxa - Mazatlan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Puebla FC Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
13.08.25	Club America - Puebla	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Puebla - UNAM	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Puebla - Monterrey	0:5 ✺
24.07.25	Atlas - Puebla	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Juárez - Puebla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
02.03.25	Mazatlan - Puebla	3:0
15.09.24	Puebla - Mazatlan	3:1
18.03.24	Puebla - Mazatlan	1:2
20.10.23	Mazatlan - Puebla	3:4
05.03.23	Puebla - Mazatlan	1:0
01.08.22	Mazatlan - Puebla	1:0
23.01.22	Mazatlan - Puebla	0:0

Mazatlan - Puebla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide