The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlas 66.5%
Draw 19%
Puebla 14.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.5%
19.1%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.9%
17.9%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Atlas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-1%)
Atlas - Puebla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vazquez C. (G) 23. Penuna V. 22. Delgado F. 5. Delgado V. 28. Quintos B. (C) 7. Flores K. 3. Saravia L. 13. Maldonado M. 11. Munoz S. 14. Ramirez C. 29. Martinez A.
19. Perez X. (C) 8. Sanchez A. 2. Peraza M. 3. Martinez L. 27. Moron V. 13. Osorio H. 10. Herrera L. 14. Lopez A. 23. Nalukenge J. 6. Lopez A. 9. Terrell K.
Substitutes
6. Acevedo V. 1. Contreras K. (G) 17. Lopez A. 19. Lopez K. 25. Meza D. 26. Stephens S. 20. Vlassopoulos E.
24. Collado N. 11. Dominguez Z. 17. Madrid Y. 16. Martinez D. 1. Masciarelli R. O. (G) 7. Nakano A. 20. Salmoran D.
Coaches
Alfaro J.
Duron J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Quintos B. ↓, Acevedo V. ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Penuna V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Flores K. ↓, Stephens S. ↑,
56', Lopez A. ↓, Collado N. ↑,
67', Munoz S. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
67', Ramirez C. ↓, Vlassopoulos E. ↑,
67', Martinez A. ↓, Meza D. ↑,
71', Moron V. ↓, Madrid Y. ↑,
72', Osorio H. ↓, Dominguez Z. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Lopez K. ⚽, Vlassopoulos E. (A),
83', Delgado F. 🟨,
83', Herrera L. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Lopez A. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Meza D. 🟨,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 6th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 3.
Atlas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Puebla has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Atlas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Atlas holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Atlas has recorded 11 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 27:4 (averaging 2.1:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlas against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 15:1 goals (averaging 2.1:0.1 per game).
Mexico
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Vazquez C. (G) 
Penuna V. 
Delgado V. 
Flores K. 
Martinez A. 
Peraza M. 
Nalukenge J. 
Masciarelli R. O. (G) 
Nakano A. 
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