Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki		Olimpia Zambrów

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.80	4.60
	1.43	4.5	4.9
	1.47	5.3	3.9
	1.48	5.57	4.17	Watch
	1.43	5.15	3.8
	1.37	5.15	5.63	Watch
	1.28	5.2	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.28)	5.1 ↓ (5.2)	4.77 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki
63.5%

Draw
17.6%

Olimpia Zambrów
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

17%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki's form might have worsened.

Olimpia Zambrów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Burkowski J. 🟥,
21', 1 - 0, Sauczek C. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 2 - 0, Cielemecki R. ⚽,
39', Augustyniak M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 3 - 0, Szczutowski A. ⚽,
68', 4 - 0, Sauczek C. ⚽,
84', 5 - 0, Zych P. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).

Mazovia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zambrów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mazovia is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	11	6	3	2	27:18	9	21
11	Zambrow	11	4	2	5	23:27	-4	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.08.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Troszyn - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWWW
- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Widzew Łódź II	3:4 ✺
15.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	4:0 ✺
01.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Ząbkovia Ząbki	5:0 ✺
08.06.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLLWW

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