Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 34

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Olimpia Zambrów

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	4.1
	1.62	4.04	4
	1.63	4.04	4
	1.55	4	4.2
	1.61	4.15	4.29	Watch
	1.75	3.8	3.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2)	3.99 ↑ (3.55)	4.02 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
55.2%

Draw
22.5%

Olimpia Zambrów
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

25.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

24.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki's performance.

Olimpia Zambrów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia Zambrów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Zambrów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Drapsa A. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Malinowski P. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', 0 - 3, Malinowski P. ⚽,
80', 0 - 4, Malinowski P. ⚽,
84', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 2.

Recent matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zambrów is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tomaszów Mazowiecki is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.05.24	Unia Skierniewice - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
25.05.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	5:1 ✺
19.05.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:6 ✺
15.05.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	7:0 ✺
10.05.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWL
- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.06.24	Olimpia Zambrów - GKS Bełchatów	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Olimpia Zambrów	2:0 ✺
18.05.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Legionovia Legionowo	3:1 ✺
15.05.24	Wikielec - Olimpia Zambrów	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Warta Sieradz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.11.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:2
08.04.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2
03.09.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	0:1
17.04.21	Olimpia Zambrów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	4:2
20.09.20	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	1:0
05.10.19	Olimpia Zambrów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1
13.04.19	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	1:2

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