Match Info

SERBIA: Prva Liga - Round 28

Date: 24 March 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion FK Mačva Šabac (Sabac)


	Mačva Šabac		Sloboda Užice

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.5	6
	1.76	3	5
	1.85	2.95	5.34	Watch
	1.7	3.1	5
	1.86	3.22	4.49	Watch
	1.76	3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.51)	3.13 ↓ (3.5)	5.14 ↓ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mačva Šabac
52.8%

Draw
29.4%

Sloboda Užice
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

25.8%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

25.1%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mačva Šabac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mačva Šabac's form might have worsened.

Sloboda Užice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mačva Šabac than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mačva Šabac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sloboda Užice than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	11.8%	70.6%

Mačva Šabac - Sloboda Užice Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Mačva will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Sloboda will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sloboda: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Nikolic B. (G) 11. Djuric S. 2. Jovanovic N. 18. Milanovic I. 10. Novakovic M. 27. Pejovic L. 19. Ristivojevic I. (C) 15. Sladojevic S. 42. Srnic D. 44. Stevanovic N. 8. Vrastanovic B.	1. Knezevic M. (G) 14. Charles S. 11. Djukic A. 15. Glisovic R. (C) 20. Halabrin F. 26. Jankovic M. 28. Jovanovic M. 24. Myung Se-Jin 8. Raskovic S. 13. Sredojevic F. 16. Vrbic D.
Substitutes
25. Abdullahi S. 12. Gavric N. 6. Isailovic D. 22. Isakovski V. 4. Markovic A. 14. Nikolic L. 17. Rakic V. 88. Savic M. (G) 21. Stanojevic S. 5. Vujic A. 9. Zivkov D.	17. Agyemang S. 5. Brnovic M. 2. Dragicevic M. 3. Jakobi L. 9. Pavlovic L. 30. Petrovic B. 27. Radoman D. 29. Savic M. 18. Starcevic O. 10. Stojanovic I. 12. Vukadinovic V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Vrastanovic B. ↓, Vujic A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Vujic A. 🟨,
62', Jovanovic N. ↓, Markovic A. ↑,
63', Milanovic I. ↓, Zivkov D. ↑,
65', Djukic A. ↓, Savic M. ↑,
66', Charles S. ↓, Petrovic B. ↑,
66', Halabrin F. ↓, Stojanovic I. ↑,
75', Djuric S. ↓, Gavric N. ↑,
82', Raskovic S. 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Sladojevic S. ⚽,
86', Myung Se-Jin ↓, Radoman D. ↑,
86', 🟨,
87', Vrbic D. ↓, Pavlovic L. ↑,
90', Novakovic M. 🟨,
90+1', Zivkov D. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mačva Šabac
Serbian Prva Liga
17.03.25	Mladost Novi Sad - Mačva Šabac	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	Mačva Šabac - Inđija	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Javor Ivanjica - Mačva Šabac	2:2 ✺
03.03.25	Mačva Šabac - Zemun	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Voždovac - Mačva Šabac	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTTT
- FK Sloboda Užice
Serbian Prva Liga
17.03.25	Sloboda Užice - Smederevo	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Dubočica - Sloboda Užice	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Sloboda Užice - Sloven Ruma	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Trayal Kruševac - Sloboda Užice	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Sloboda Užice - Vršac	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
26.10.24	Sloboda Užice - Mačva Šabac	1:0
06.03.24	Sloboda Užice - Mačva Šabac	2:0
22.09.23	Mačva Šabac - Sloboda Užice	0:0
27.05.23	Sloboda Užice - Mačva Šabac	1:0
06.11.22	Mačva Šabac - Sloboda Užice	0:0
08.08.22	Sloboda Užice - Mačva Šabac	2:1

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