Match Info

Prva Liga - Relegation Group - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Dubočica (Leskovac)


	Dubočica		Sloboda Užice

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.6	5.5
	1.33	4.3	8.8
	1.46	3.68	9.26	Watch
	1.48	3.6	6.5
	1.44	3.87	8.59
	1.33	4.3	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (2.02)	3.89 ↑ (3.1)	7.91 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubočica
64.6%

Draw
23.7%

Sloboda Užice
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29.1%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubočica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dubočica's performance.

Sloboda Užice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sloboda Užice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dubočica than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dubočica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloboda Užice than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sloboda Užice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Dubočica - Sloboda Užice Predictions

Users Predictions: Dubočica will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dubočica will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Belic N. (G) 25. Aboosah J. 50. Ilic V. 3. Jokovic D. 73. Kocic S. 42. Kokir J. 23. Pavlovic A. 2. Popovic A. 9. Ratkovic L. 21. Soumah A. 17. Zdravkovic N. (C)	12. Vukadinovic V. (G) 11. Djukic A. 15. Glisovic R. (C) 20. Halabrin F. 3. Jakobi L. 26. Jankovic M. 28. Jovanovic M. 30. Petrovic B. 8. Raskovic S. 18. Starcevic O. 16. Vrbic D.
Substitutes
7. Djordjevic P. 8. Grjaznovs A. 20. Jovanovic N. 28. Kadijevic A. 10. Ljubenovic M. 15. Momcilovic M. 45. Petrovic M. 12. Stankovic V. (G) 5. Tidenbergs E. 90. Todorovic A. 16. Zivojinovic V.	17. Agyemang S. 5. Brnovic M. 2. Dragicevic M. 7. Mitkov K. 21. Nenadic J. (G) 27. Radoman D. 29. Savic M. 10. Stojanovic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Ratkovic L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Petrovic B. ↓, Radoman D. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Ratkovic L. ⚽,
56', Jakobi L. 🟨,
59', Kokir J. ↓, Kadijevic A. ↑,
59', Popovic A. ↓, Djordjevic P. ↑,
62', Raskovic S. ↓, Savic M. ↑,
62', Djukic A. ↓, Stojanovic I. ↑,
66', Ilic V. ↓, Zivojinovic V. ↑,
66', Soumah A. ↓, Ljubenovic M. ↑,
77', Stojanovic I. 🟨,
78', Starcevic O. ↓, Brnovic M. ↑,
81', Kocic S. ↓, Petrovic M. ↑,
84', Jankovic M. ↓, Dragicevic M. ↑,
87', Djordjevic P. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Dubočica
Serbian Prva Liga
06.04.25	Smederevo - Dubočica	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Dubočica - Vršac	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Dubočica - Sloven Ruma	2:3 ✺
17.03.25	Trayal Kruševac - Dubočica	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Dubočica - Sloboda Užice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLWT
- FK Sloboda Užice
Serbian Prva Liga
06.04.25	Borac Čačak - Sloboda Užice	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sloboda Užice - Radnik Surdulica	0:3 ✺
24.03.25	Mačva Šabac - Sloboda Užice	1:0 ✺
17.03.25	Sloboda Užice - Smederevo	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Dubočica - Sloboda Užice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
13.03.25	Dubočica - Sloboda Užice	1:1
13.10.24	Sloboda Užice - Dubočica	1:1
21.04.24	Dubočica - Sloboda Užice	1:1
02.04.24	Sloboda Užice - Dubočica	1:0
21.10.23	Dubočica - Sloboda Užice	1:0

Dubočica - Sloboda Užice: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide