Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 6

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Casey Fields (Cranbourne East)


	Melbourne City Youth		Altona Magic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.8	3.9
	1.72	3.95	3.6	Watch
	1.69	5.08	3.7
	1.75	4.00	3.93	Watch
	1.85	3.9	3.1
	1.91	4.11	3.31	Watch
	1.62	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.37)	4.12 ↑ (3.63)	3.68 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne City Youth
52.6%

Draw
22.4%

Altona Magic
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

25.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

24.7%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City Youth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne City Youth's performance.

Altona Magic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altona Magic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City Youth than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne City Youth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altona Magic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melbourne City Youth - Altona Magic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 🟥,
45+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Melbourne City Youth have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Altona Magic's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Altona Magic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melbourne City Youth is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
14.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - St Albans Dinamo	5:0 ✺
07.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - Oakleigh Cannons	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Melbourne City Youth - Preston Lions	0:3 ✺
20.02.26	Dandenong City - Melbourne City Youth	2:4 ✺
14.02.26	Dandenong Thunder - Melbourne City Youth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WTLWT
- Altona Magic
Australian NPL Victoria
14.03.26	Altona Magic - Bentleigh Greens	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Altona Magic - St Albans Dinamo	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Altona Magic - South Melbourne	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Altona Magic	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Hume City - Altona Magic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLLW

Melbourne City Youth - Altona Magic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide