Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 3

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Paisley Park (Melbourne)


	Altona Magic		South Melbourne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.55	3.3
	1.96	3.89	3.45
	1.42	4.12	7.91	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.3
	1.92	3.62	3.28	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (3.81)	3.65 ↓ (3.74)	3.88 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altona Magic
48.8%

Draw
26.4%

South Melbourne
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

24.7%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altona Magic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altona Magic's performance.

South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Melbourne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Altona Magic - South Melbourne Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Altona Magic will win (votes: 3 - 75%). South Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Altona Magic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 🟥,
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altona Magic won 0.

South Melbourne is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Altona Magic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, South Melbourne has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Altona Magic won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:32. (average 0.6:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Altona Magic won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altona Magic
Australian NPL Victoria
20.02.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Altona Magic	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Hume City - Altona Magic	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Melbourne Knights - Altona Magic	1:5 ✺
16.08.25	Altona Magic - Port Melbourne Sharks	4:0 ✺
01.08.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Altona Magic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWL
- South Melbourne FC
OFC Pro League
27.02.26	South Melbourne - South Island United	4:1 ✺
21.02.26	South Melbourne - Auckland FC 2	1:1 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
19.02.26	South Melbourne - Hume City	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Avondale - South Melbourne	0:2 ✺
OFC Pro League
07.02.26	South Melbourne - Vanuatu United	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
19.07.25	South Melbourne - Altona Magic	2:0
05.04.25	Altona Magic - South Melbourne	0:0
21.06.24	South Melbourne - Altona Magic	4:0
16.03.24	Altona Magic - South Melbourne	1:4
29.07.23	Altona Magic - South Melbourne	1:4
30.04.23	South Melbourne - Altona Magic	5:1
23.07.22	South Melbourne - Altona Magic	2:0

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