Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 8

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Casey Fields (Cranbourne East)


	Melbourne City Youth		Caroline Springs George Cross

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.78	Watch
	2.19	3.85	2.91
	4.23	3.77	1.74	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.75
	2.12	3.6	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (1.9)	3.6 ↓ (3.7)	2.6 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne City Youth
37%

Draw
26.4%

Caroline Springs George Cross
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

24.8%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

24.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne City Youth's form might have worsened.

Caroline Springs George Cross has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caroline Springs George Cross's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City Youth than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne City Youth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caroline Springs George Cross than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caroline Springs George Cross, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Melbourne City Youth - Caroline Springs George Cross Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Mazis L. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Baker B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Melbourne City Youth has had a series of home games.

Melbourne City Youth might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City Youth won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 3.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City Youth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
27.03.26	Heidelberg United - Melbourne City Youth	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - Altona Magic	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - St Albans Dinamo	5:0 ✺
07.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - Oakleigh Cannons	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Melbourne City Youth - Preston Lions	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTWTL
- Caroline Springs George Cross
Australian NPL Victoria
28.03.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - St Albans Dinamo	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Caroline Springs George Cross	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Preston Lions - Caroline Springs George Cross	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Dandenong City - Caroline Springs George Cross	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Dandenong Thunder	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
26.07.25	Melbourne City Youth - Caroline Springs George Cross	1:2
12.04.25	Caroline Springs George Cross - Melbourne City Youth	3:6
18.05.24	Melbourne City Youth - Caroline Springs George Cross	3:0

Melbourne City Youth - Caroline Springs George Cross: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide