Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 7

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday

Location: Knights Stadium (Melbourne)


	Melbourne Knights		Northcote City

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.7	2.35
	2.45	3.65	2.46
	2.36	4.17	2.36	Watch
	2.38	3.7	2.3
	2.32	3.9	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (4.4)	3.82 ↓ (4.33)	2.36 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Knights
38.1%

Draw
23.7%

Northcote City
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

20.9%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

20.5%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Knights's performance.

Northcote City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northcote City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Knights than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Knights that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (+21.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northcote City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melbourne Knights - Northcote City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria).

Melbourne Knights is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Northcote City is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Knights won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Knights won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Knights
Australian Victoria Premier League
21.03.26	Bulleen Lions - Melbourne Knights	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Melbourne Knights - Melbourne Srbija	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Brunswick Juventus - Melbourne Knights	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Melbourne Knights - North Sunshine Eagles	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Melbourne Knights - Melbourne Victory Youth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWW
- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
21.03.26	Melbourne Srbija - Northcote City	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Northcote City - North Sunshine Eagles	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Northcote City - North Geelong Warriors	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Langwarrin - Northcote City	1:3 ✺
20.02.26	Northcote City - Western United U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
15.06.18	Melbourne Knights - Northcote City	4:1
12.03.18	Northcote City - Melbourne Knights	1:1
11.06.16	Northcote City - Melbourne Knights	5:0
04.03.16	Melbourne Knights - Northcote City	2:1
30.05.15	Northcote City - Melbourne Knights	1:2

Melbourne Knights - Northcote City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide