Match Info

AUSTRALIA: AUSTRALIA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday


	Melbourne Knights		Queensland Lions

	1	X	2
	1.83	4	3.4	Watch
	1.82	3.75	3.3
	1.8	4.1	3.15
	1.75	4.18	3.53
	1.85	3.6	3.4	Watch
	1.83	4.1	3.74	Watch
	1.72	4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.95)	3.96 ↑ (3.82)	3.47 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Knights
50.7%

Draw
23%

Queensland Lions
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

24.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

23.5%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Queensland Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Knights than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queensland Lions than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Melbourne Knights - Queensland Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Melbourne Knights will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Lions will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lions: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Melbourne Knights is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lions is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Lions have a series of guest games.

Melbourne Knights will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Knights
Australian NPL Victoria
29.07.23	Hume City - Melbourne Knights	2:4 ✺
21.07.23	Green Gully - Melbourne Knights	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Melbourne Knights - Moreland City	2:1 ✺
09.07.23	North Geelong Warriors - Melbourne Knights	0:3 ✺
30.06.23	Melbourne Knights - Avondale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWT
- Queensland Lions
Australian NPL Queensland
28.07.23	Rochedale Rovers - Queensland Lions	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Olympic FC - Queensland Lions	0:2 ✺
15.07.23	Gold Coast United - Queensland Lions	2:0 ✺
08.07.23	Peninsula Power - Queensland Lions	2:2 ✺
23.06.23	Queensland Lions - Brisbane Roar Youth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLTW

Melbourne Knights - Queensland Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide