Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Victoria Premier League - Round 6

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Melbourne Srbija		Moreland City

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.6	5.25
	1.53	4.3	4.6
	1.43	4.99	5.35
	1.49	4.8	4.83	Watch
	1.57	4.95	4.38
	1.53	4.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.82)	4.66 ↑ (4)	4.84 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Srbija
61.3%

Draw
19.7%

Moreland City
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

22.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

18.3%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Srbija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Srbija's performance.

Moreland City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moreland City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Srbija than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Srbija that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moreland City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Melbourne Srbija - Moreland City Predictions

Users Predictions: Melbourne Srbija will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, ⚽,
39', 0 - 3, ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 4, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
63', 1 - 4, ⚽,
67', 2 - 4, ⚽,
84', 3 - 4, ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Recently Melbourne Srbija have a series of guest games.

In this match Melbourne Srbija is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Melbourne Srbija
Australian Victoria Premier League
08.03.25	Melbourne Srbija - Northcote City	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Bentleigh Greens - Melbourne Srbija	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Manningham United - Melbourne Srbija	2:2 ✺
14.02.25	Brunswick City - Melbourne Srbija	1:1 ✺
10.02.25	Kingston City - Melbourne Srbija	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLTTL
- Moreland City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
07.03.25	Moreland City - Eastern Lions	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Melbourne City Youth - Moreland City	8:1 ✺
21.02.25	North Sunshine Eagles - Moreland City	5:0 ✺
14.02.25	Moreland City - Northcote City	0:1 ✺
07.02.25	Bentleigh Greens - Moreland City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLL

Melbourne Srbija - Moreland City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide