Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 6

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Melbourne Victory Youth		Western United U21

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	3.75
	1.75	4.15	3.35
	1.63	4.7	3.65
	1.64	4.85	3.69	Watch
	1.62	4.2	3.7
	1.63	4.4	3.84
	1.57	4.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.87)	4.43 ↓ (4.7)	3.68 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory Youth
55.1%

Draw
20.4%

Western United U21
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

19.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

19.6%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory Youth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Victory Youth's performance.

Western United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Western United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Victory Youth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United U21 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western United U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melbourne Victory Youth - Western United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).

Victory Youth has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Western United U21's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Victory Youth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Victory Youth is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Victory Youth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 3:4).

Including home match between the teams, Victory Youth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian Victoria Premier League
13.03.26	Brunswick City - Melbourne Victory Youth	3:2 ✺
09.03.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Bulleen Lions	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Brunswick Juventus - Melbourne Victory Youth	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Melbourne Knights - Melbourne Victory Youth	3:1 ✺
16.02.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Eltham Redbacks	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLLW
- Western United U21
Australian Victoria Premier League
14.03.26	Western United U21 - Eltham Redbacks	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Port Melbourne Sharks - Western United U21	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Western United U21 - Manningham United	6:3 ✺
20.02.26	Northcote City - Western United U21	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Western United U21 - Melbourne Srbija	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
17.08.24	Melbourne Victory Youth - Western United U21	2:4
11.05.24	Western United U21 - Melbourne Victory Youth	4:4

Melbourne Victory Youth - Western United U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide