Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Melhus		Rosenborg II

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.00	3.90
	1.17	6.70	9.20
	1.18	6.28	8.99
	1.61	4.23	4.33	Watch
	1.18	6.00	11.00
	1.19	6.30	9.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.63)	5.59 ↑ (4.26)	7.86 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melhus
71.1%

Draw
16.9%

Rosenborg II
12%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.4%

21.6%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

20.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melhus's performance.

Rosenborg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosenborg II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melhus than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melhus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg II than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosenborg II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melhus - Rosenborg II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Thorsen E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 1 - 1, Hermansen E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melhus won 3.

Melhus is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rosenborg II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Melhus is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Melhus won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 2.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Melhus won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 2.6:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Melhus	25	12	6	7	56:30	26	42
6	Rosenborg 2	25	10	4	11	55:47	8	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melhus IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
14.06.26	Byåsen - Melhus	3:2 ✺
30.05.26	Melhus - Molde 2	3:0 ✺
22.05.26	Orkla FK - Melhus	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Melhus - Nardo	2:2 ✺
03.05.26	Aalesunds 2 - Melhus	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWTW
- Rosenborg BK II
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
13.06.26	Rosenborg II - Molde 2	4:0 ✺
30.05.26	Nardo - Rosenborg II	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Rosenborg II - Volda	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Ranheim 2 - Rosenborg II	5:2 ✺
11.05.26	Rosenborg II - Kvik	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
15.09.25	Rosenborg II - Melhus	2:3
02.07.25	Melhus - Rosenborg II	4:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
16.09.24	Rosenborg II - Melhus	1:2
27.05.24	Melhus - Rosenborg II	2:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
05.09.22	Rosenborg II - Melhus	2:0
01.09.22	Melhus - Rosenborg II	4:1
06.05.19	Melhus - Rosenborg II	1:4

Melhus - Rosenborg II