Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Nardo		Rosenborg II

	1	X	2
	1.92	4.05	2.92
	1.91	3.95	2.97
	1.97	3.87	3.11	Watch
	1.91	4	2.8
	2.17	4.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)	4.01 ↓ (4.2)	2.86 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nardo
45.8%

Draw
22.5%

Rosenborg II
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

21.7%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

21.6%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Rosenborg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg II than the current prediction. (+5%)

Nardo - Rosenborg II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Halvorsen K. ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, Nordland J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nardo won 2.

Nardo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rosenborg II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nardo won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nardo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 2.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Rosenborg 2	22	9	4	9	50:40	10	31
9	Nardo	21	8	2	11	47:46	1	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nardo FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
25.05.26	Strindheim - Nardo	4:1 ✺
14.05.26	Nardo - Byåsen	2:4 ✺
09.05.26	Melhus - Nardo	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Nardo - Orkla FK	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Molde 2 - Nardo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTWL
- Rosenborg BK II
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
23.05.26	Rosenborg II - Volda	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Ranheim 2 - Rosenborg II	5:2 ✺
11.05.26	Rosenborg II - Kvik	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	NTNUI - Rosenborg II	2:3 ✺
24.04.26	Rosenborg II - Aalesunds 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
22.09.25	Nardo - Rosenborg II	1:1
05.05.25	Rosenborg II - Nardo	3:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
26.08.24	Nardo - Rosenborg II	5:0
23.06.24	Rosenborg II - Nardo	0:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
18.09.23	Rosenborg II - Nardo	1:0
31.07.23	Nardo - Rosenborg II	5:1
17.08.22	Nardo - Rosenborg II	1:1

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