Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Melilla		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.87	3
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.24	2.95	3.1
	2.32	3.13	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.32)	2.96 ↓ (3.03)	3.03 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
39.5%

Draw
30.6%

La Nucía
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

21.7%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Nucía, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Melilla - La Nucía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.11.21	El Ejido - Melilla	3:1 ✺
31.10.21	Melilla - Levante B	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Pulpileño - Melilla	1:3 ✺
17.10.21	Melilla - Socuéllamos	3:1 ✺
10.10.21	Alzira - Melilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.11.21	La Nucía - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
31.10.21	Hércules - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	La Nucía - Eldense	1:0 ✺
17.10.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - La Nucía	1:2 ✺
10.10.21	El Ejido - La Nucía	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWWW

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