Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Mensajero		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.3
	3.1	2.85	2.3
	2.8	3.15	2.32
	3.21	2.98	2.4
	3.04	3.2	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.59)	3.03 ↓ (3.22)	2.32 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
30.3%

Draw
30.2%

Don Benito
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

20.4%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mensajero's form might have worsened.

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Benito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mensajero - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Mensajero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.01.22	Panadería Pulido - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
09.01.22	Mensajero - Coria	0:1 ✺
22.12.21	Mensajero - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
19.12.21	Cadiz CF B - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
12.12.21	Mensajero - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTTT
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.01.22	UD San Fernando - Don Benito	1:3 ✺
19.12.21	Don Benito - Tamaraceite	2:0 ✺
12.12.21	Montijo - Don Benito	3:1 ✺
05.12.21	Coria - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
27.11.21	Don Benito - Cadiz CF B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.09.21	Don Benito - Mensajero	1:1

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