Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mensajero		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	3
	2.45	2.85	2.85
	2.5	2.85	2.8
	2.6	2.85	3.04
	2.38	3.22	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.24)	2.91 ↓ (3.25)	2.91 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
37.2%

Draw
31.4%

Xerez Deportivo
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

19.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mensajero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xerez Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mensajero - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Mensajero is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Xerez Deportivo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Xerez Deportivo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mensajero have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.12.21	Mensajero - Montijo	1:0 ✺
05.12.21	Vélez - Mensajero	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Mensajero - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.11.21	Mensajero - Ceuta	1:3 ✺
14.11.21	Mensajero - Las Palmas B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.12.21	Xerez Deportivo - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Xerez Deportivo - Leganés	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.11.21	Tamaraceite - Xerez Deportivo	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	Xerez Deportivo - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Coria - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL

Mensajero - Xerez Deportivo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Mensajero - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Preview

Form

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