Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Merani Tbilisi		Rustavi

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.95	3.75
	1.76	5.21	2.78
	1.86	5.45	2.72
	1.66	4.1	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.05)	4.68 ↑ (3.41)	3.29 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merani Tbilisi
52.8%

Draw
19.5%

Rustavi
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

23.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merani Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Merani Tbilisi's performance.

Rustavi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merani Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merani Tbilisi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rustavi than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rustavi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	17.6%	29.4%

Merani Tbilisi - Rustavi Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Merani Tbilisi will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Rustavi will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Merani Tbilisi: 29.2% – 76.6%.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merani Tbilisi won 1.

Recent matches Merani Tbilisi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rustavi has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Merani Tbilisi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Merani Tbilisi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Merani Tbilisi won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Merani Tbilisi won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merani Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
15.10.22	WIT Georgia - Merani Tbilisi	2:3 ✺
09.10.22	Samtredia - Merani Tbilisi	4:1 ✺
01.10.22	Merani Tbilisi - Spaeri	0:4 ✺
17.09.22	Merani Tbilisi - Gareji Sagarejo	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Merani Tbilisi - Shukura Kobuleti	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL
- FC Rustavi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
16.10.22	Rustavi - Merani Martvili	1:2 ✺
Georgian Cup
12.10.22	Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:4 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
08.10.22	Rustavi - Shukura Kobuleti	1:3 ✺
17.09.22	WIT Georgia - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Spaeri - Rustavi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
28.08.22	Rustavi - Merani Tbilisi	4:0
27.05.22	Rustavi - Merani Tbilisi	1:1
01.04.22	Merani Tbilisi - Rustavi	3:2
Club Friendly
08.02.22	Rustavi - Merani Tbilisi	2:2
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
15.09.21	Merani Tbilisi - Rustavi	1:1
07.06.21	Rustavi - Merani Tbilisi	0:3
07.04.21	Merani Tbilisi - Rustavi	2:1

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