Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 14

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Shevardeni Stadium (Tbilisi)


	WIT Georgia		Merani Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.84	6.06	Watch
	1.45	3.88	6.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.87)	3.86 ↑ (3.6)	6.27 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

WIT Georgia
62%

Draw
23.5%

Merani Tbilisi
14.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.5%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

26.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

WIT Georgia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in WIT Georgia's performance.

Merani Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merani Tbilisi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for WIT Georgia than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with WIT Georgia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merani Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merani Tbilisi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

WIT Georgia - Merani Tbilisi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Shanidze L. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, WIT Georgia won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Merani Tbilisi has had a series of home games.

WIT Georgia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, WIT Georgia won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, WIT Georgia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Merani Tbilisi	24	12	7	5	41:30	11	43
6	WIT Georgia	24	11	5	8	38:28	10	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WIT Georgia
Georgian Liga 3
28.05.26	Didube - WIT Georgia	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	WIT Georgia - Orbi	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	WIT Georgia - Guria Lanchkhuti	1:0 ✺
07.05.26	Tbilisi 2025 - WIT Georgia	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	WIT Georgia - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW
- Merani Tbilisi
Georgian Liga 3
28.05.26	Merani Tbilisi - Tbilisi 2025	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Merani Tbilisi - Gonio	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	Iberia 1999 2 - Merani Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Merani Tbilisi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Merani Tbilisi - Iberia 2010	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Liga 3
23.10.25	WIT Georgia - Merani Tbilisi	1:1
22.05.25	Merani Tbilisi - WIT Georgia	1:4
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
06.10.23	WIT Georgia - Merani Tbilisi	1:1
08.08.23	Merani Tbilisi - WIT Georgia	2:3
05.05.23	WIT Georgia - Merani Tbilisi	5:1
05.03.23	Merani Tbilisi - WIT Georgia	1:1
15.10.22	WIT Georgia - Merani Tbilisi	2:3

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