Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 9

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday


	Merani Tbilisi		WIT Georgia

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.89	2.22
	2.47	3.89	2.33	Watch
	2.54	3.52	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (4.42)	3.77 ↓ (4)	2.35 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merani Tbilisi
36.6%

Draw
24.3%

WIT Georgia
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

21.8%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merani Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Merani Tbilisi's performance.

WIT Georgia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and WIT Georgia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merani Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merani Tbilisi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for WIT Georgia than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that WIT Georgia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Merani Tbilisi - WIT Georgia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Merani Tbilisi (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merani Tbilisi (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Khutsishvili N. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Gugberidze B. ⚽,
15', 1 - 2, Gotsadze B. ⚽,
25', 1 - 3, Gambarashvili N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 1 - 4, Tchikaidze I. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merani Tbilisi won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

WIT Georgia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, WIT Georgia has had a series of home games.

In this match, WIT Georgia is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Merani Tbilisi won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Merani Tbilisi won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merani Tbilisi
Georgian Liga 3
15.05.25	Shturmi - Merani Tbilisi	4:3 ✺
08.05.25	Merani Tbilisi - Aragvi Dusheti	0:1 ✺
24.04.25	Merani Tbilisi - Didube	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Bakhmaro Chokhatauri - Merani Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
10.04.25	Merani Tbilisi - Borjomi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWTT
- WIT Georgia
Georgian Liga 3
15.05.25	WIT Georgia - Gori	2:3 ✺
01.05.25	WIT Georgia - Kolkheti Khobi	4:1 ✺
25.04.25	WIT Georgia - Odishi 1919	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Shturmi - WIT Georgia	3:0 ✺
10.04.25	WIT Georgia - Aragvi Dusheti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
06.10.23	WIT Georgia - Merani Tbilisi	1:1
08.08.23	Merani Tbilisi - WIT Georgia	2:3
05.05.23	WIT Georgia - Merani Tbilisi	5:1
05.03.23	Merani Tbilisi - WIT Georgia	1:1
15.10.22	WIT Georgia - Merani Tbilisi	2:3
20.08.22	Merani Tbilisi - WIT Georgia	3:1
20.06.22	Merani Tbilisi - WIT Georgia	2:1

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