Match Info

Primera C - Round 7

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Mercedes		Argentino de Rosario

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.68	2.52
	3.01	2.59	2.55
	2.98	2.69	2.6	Watch
	2.9	2.63	2.5
	2.73	2.82	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.78)	2.68 ↓ (2.78)	2.54 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
31%

Draw
33.6%

Argentino de Rosario
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

32.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

32.5%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Argentino de Rosario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Rosario than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Ortigosa F. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
05.04.26	Estrella del Sur - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Mercedes - Berazategui	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	El Porvenir - Mercedes	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Victoriano Arenas - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Mercedes - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTLW
- Argentino de Rosario
Argentinian Primera C
05.04.26	Argentino de Rosario - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Puerto Nuevo - Argentino de Rosario	1:1 ✺
23.03.26	Argentino de Rosario - Deportivo Yupanqui	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Argentino de Rosario - Leandro N. Alem	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Argentino de Rosario	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
27.07.24	Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario	1:1
24.02.24	Argentino de Rosario - Mercedes	2:0
Argentinian Primera D
08.09.23	Argentino de Rosario - Mercedes	1:2
03.06.23	Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario	1:1
20.05.23	Argentino de Rosario - Mercedes	2:4
01.09.22	Argentino de Rosario - Mercedes	0:1
18.06.22	Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario	2:2

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