Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday


	Merelinense		Cerveira

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.6	6.75
	1.36	4.25	5.8
	1.32	4.3	8.2
	1.41	4.46	8.61
	1.4	4.15	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)	4.35 ↓ (4.56)	7.39 ↑ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merelinense
66.7%

Draw
21%

Cerveira
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

20%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

11.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merelinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Cerveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merelinense than the current prediction. (-29.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merelinense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerveira than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerveira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Merelinense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Merelinense is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Merelinense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merelinense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.01.21	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	1:0 ✺
03.01.21	Merelinense - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	Merelinense - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Merelinense - Vidago	2:0 ✺
25.11.20	Braga B - Merelinense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWL
- Cerveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.01.21	Vidago - Cerveira	4:1 ✺
20.12.20	Cerveira - Braga B	1:1 ✺
13.12.20	Cerveira - Bragança	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Vianense - Cerveira	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Cerveira - Maria da Fonte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.10.20	Cerveira - Merelinense	0:0
02.02.20	Cerveira - Merelinense	1:3

Merelinense - Cerveira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide