Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Merelinense		São Martinho

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Merelinense
26.8%

Draw
31.8%

São Martinho
41.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

32.1%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

31.5%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merelinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

São Martinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merelinense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Last 5 head-to-head matches Merelinense won 3.

Recent matches Merelinense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

São Martinho is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

São Martinho will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Merelinense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Merelinense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merelinense
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Merelinense - Rabo de Peixe	3:4 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
25.09.22	Vila Meã - Merelinense	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Merelinense - Vianense	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.09.22	Maria da Fonte - Merelinense	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.22	Merelinense - Felgueiras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LTWWL
- Associação Recreativa de São Martinho
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	São Martinho - Guarda Desportiva	4:3 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
25.09.22	São Martinho - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Amarante - São Martinho	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.22	Valadares Gaia - São Martinho	0:2 ✺
17.08.22	Gondomar - São Martinho	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLWW

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.05.21	Merelinense - São Martinho	1:2
09.05.21	São Martinho - Merelinense	0:1
23.02.20	Merelinense - São Martinho	2:1
Taça de Portugal
29.09.19	São Martinho - Merelinense	0:1 penalties
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.01.19	Merelinense - São Martinho	2:3
27.08.17	São Martinho - Merelinense	2:0

Merelinense - São Martinho