Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Mes Kerman		Sanat Naft

	1	X	2
	2.77	2.54	2.52
	2.76	2.87	2.66	Watch
	4.37	2.54	2.09	Watch
	3.5	2.62	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.66)	2.64 ↓ (2.69)	2.38 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Kerman
27.2%

Draw
34.5%

Sanat Naft
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

33.8%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

35.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Kerman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mes Kerman's form might have worsened.

Sanat Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sanat Naft's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Kerman than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mes Kerman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanat Naft than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sanat Naft, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mes Kerman - Sanat Naft Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mes Kerman (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mes Kerman (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Aghababaei R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, Zebarjad K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mes Kerman won 2.

In recent matches, Mes Kerman has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sanat Naft is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sanat Naft may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mes Kerman won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mes Kerman won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Kerman
Iran Division 1
13.12.25	Palayesh Naft - Mes Kerman	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Mes Kerman - Shahrdari Noshahr	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Mes Kerman	0:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.11.25	Mes Kerman - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
Iran Division 1
14.11.25	Mes Kerman - Havadar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTWLW
- Sanat Naft
Iran Division 1
12.12.25	Sanat Naft - Navad Urmia	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Sanat Naft - Palayesh Naft	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Sanat Naft	0:1 ✺
14.11.25	Sanat Naft - Fard Alborz	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Sanat Naft	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
30.01.25	Mes Kerman - Sanat Naft	0:0
17.09.24	Sanat Naft - Mes Kerman	3:0
Iran Pro League
06.04.23	Sanat Naft - Mes Kerman	2:1
20.10.22	Mes Kerman - Sanat Naft	2:0
05.04.13	Mes Kerman - Sanat Naft	1:0
31.10.12	Sanat Naft - Mes Kerman	0:0

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