Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 15

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Takhti Stadium (Abadan)


	Sanat Naft		Navad Urmia

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.3	6.5
	1.44	3.50	9.33	Watch
	1.57	3.1	6.5
	1.57	3.2	6.58
	1.52	3.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.78)	3.26 ↑ (2.98)	7.18 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanat Naft
59.6%

Draw
27.8%

Navad Urmia
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

30.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

28.5%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanat Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sanat Naft's performance.

Navad Urmia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Navad Urmia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanat Naft than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navad Urmia than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Sanat Naft - Navad Urmia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sanat Naft (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 12).

Sanat Naft has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Navad Urmia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sanat Naft may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sanat Naft is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Sanat Naft will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanat Naft
Iran Division 1
06.12.25	Sanat Naft - Palayesh Naft	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Sanat Naft	0:1 ✺
14.11.25	Sanat Naft - Fard Alborz	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Pars Jonoubi Jam - Sanat Naft	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Sanat Naft - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWWWW
- Navad Urmia
Iran Division 1
06.12.25	Navad Urmia - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:1
27.11.25	Palayesh Naft - Navad Urmia	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Navad Urmia - Shahrdari Noshahr	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Fard Alborz - Navad Urmia	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Navad Urmia - Havadar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWTT

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