Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 22

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium (Tafresh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iran	Kerman TV
Ireland	Shabake 3


	Mes Rafsanjan		Esteghlal

	1	X	2
	6.6	3.34	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.6 ↑ (5.5)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Rafsanjan
13.8%

Draw
27.2%

Esteghlal
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

25.4%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

24.4%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Rafsanjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parsa P. (G) 34. Fakhreddini M. 21. Jahanbakhsh D. 4. Salimi I. 50. Heydarieh V. 8. Komar N. 6. Zendehrouh A. 88. Mehri S. 10. Nariman S. 18. Ramezani A. 69. Jabireh R.	1. Adan A. (G) 2. Hardani S. 19. Fallah S. 5. Ashurmatov R. 33. Jalali A. 8. Razzaghinia A. 70. Asani J. 80. Eslami M. 17. Munir El Haddadi 20. Koushki A. 11. Saharkhizan S.
Substitutes
48. Abbasi M. . Ashkovski S. 24. Choubdari H. 30. Ghaffari S. . Golmohammadi S. 33. Lee Ki-Je 44. Mirzazad N. (G) 5. Nasiri M. 15. Ranjbar A. . Rezaei M. 70. Taherkhani H.	23. Aghasi A. 88. Ahmadi M. 7. Azadi M. R. 4. Cheshmi R. 12. Djenepo M. 76. Farabbasi H. (G) 55. Gholami A. 87. Gholizadeh E. 27. Goudarzi H. 6. Touranian S. 15. Zamani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Mehri S. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Munir El Haddadi ⚽, Eslami M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nariman S. ↓, Nasiri M. ↑,
50', Razzaghinia A. 🟨,
65', Ramezani A. 🟨,
66', Ramezani A. ↓, Taherkhani H. ↑,
66', Mehri S. ↓, Ranjbar A. ↑,
68', Koushki A. ↓, Djenepo M. ↑,
76', Eslami M. ↓, Zamani A. ↑,
81', Zendehrouh A. ↓, Abbasi M. ↑,
83', Asani J. ↓, Gholizadeh E. ↑,
83', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Azadi M. R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 0.

Mes Rafsanjan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Esteghlal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mes Rafsanjan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Esteghlal is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mes Rafsanjan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
14.02.26	Paykan - Mes Rafsanjan	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Shams Azar Qazvin - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Tractor Sazi - Mes Rafsanjan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLTL
- Esteghlal FC
AFC Champions League 2
17.02.26	Al-Hussein Irbid - Esteghlal	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	Esteghlal - Al-Hussein Irbid	0:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
05.02.26	Esteghlal - Shams Azar Qazvin	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Paykan - Esteghlal	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Esteghlal - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
17.10.25	Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0
07.02.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal	0:0
09.11.24	Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0
06.04.24	Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan	2:2
07.10.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal	0:1
12.05.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Esteghlal	1:2
30.12.22	Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0

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