Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 4

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium (Tafresh)


	Mes Rafsanjan		Shams Azar Qazvin

	1	X	2
	1.92	2.82	4.65
	2.02	2.88	4.73
	1.93	2.83	4.74
	2.72	2.74	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.72)	2.82 ↑ (2.74)	4.18 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mes Rafsanjan
43.9%

Draw
33.5%

Shams Azar Qazvin
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

32.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Rafsanjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mes Rafsanjan's performance.

Shams Azar Qazvin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shams Azar Qazvin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Mes Rafsanjan - Shams Azar Qazvin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mes Rafsanjan will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Shams Azar Qazvin will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Mirzazad N. (G) 34. Fakhreddini M. 27. Kurdic N. 4. Salimi I. 50. Heydarieh V. 78. Jolani A. 20. Naghizadeh A. 6. Zendehrouh A. 10. Nariman S. 22. Matheus Costa 7. Karimzadeh M. H.	1. Jafarpour A. (G) 33. Rabizadeh H. 6. Mohebi S. 2. Nejad Mehdi M. 4. Daghagheleh A. 9. Mamizadeh M. 11. Shojaeian D. 10. Mohkamkar A. 66. Azadeh M. 37. Fadakar S. 48. Sorgi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Karimzadeh M. H. ↓, Ramezani A. ↑,
46', Jolani A. ↓, Jahanbakhsh D. ↑,
64', Mamizadeh M. ↓, Moamelehgari F. ↑,
64', Mohebi S. 🟨,
73', Fakhreddini M. ↓, Mehanovic M. ↑,
76', Sorgi M. ↓, Aghamohammadi M. ↑,
76', Fadakar S. ↓, Moazemitabar S. ↑,

Preview

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mes Rafsanjan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
13.09.25	Zob Ahan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Tractor Sazi	0:0 ✺
18.08.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Mes Rafsanjan	3:2 ✺
15.05.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0 ✺
08.05.25	Zob Ahan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLTL
- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Pro League
13.09.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Paykan	1:1 ✺
26.08.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Chadormalou Ardakan	4:4 ✺
19.08.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:1 ✺
15.05.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Aluminium Arak	1:3 ✺
08.05.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
07.03.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Mes Rafsanjan	3:1
04.10.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1
28.02.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0
22.08.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:3

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