Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 16

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium (Tafresh)


	Mes Rafsanjan		Kheybar Khorramabad

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.58	2.68
	3.17	2.50	2.82	Watch
	3	2.4	2.7
	3.18	2.41	2.71	Watch
	3.1	2.37	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (3)	2.45 ↓ (2.52)	2.72 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mes Rafsanjan
29.4%

Draw
37.2%

Kheybar Khorramabad
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

36%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

38.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mes Rafsanjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Kheybar Khorramabad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kheybar Khorramabad than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Mes Rafsanjan - Kheybar Khorramabad Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Mirzazad N. (G) 34. Fakhreddini M. 66. Afkham A. 5. Nasiri M. 50. Heydarieh V. 8. Komar N. 10. Nariman S. 6. Zendehrouh A. 27. Mehri S. 70. Taherkhani H. 18. Ramezani A.	1. Pour Hamidi H. (G) 2. Sefid M. 3. Hosseini E. 6. Masoumi M. E. 15. Mohebi M. 76. Farsi A. 27. Arasteh A. 16. Moradi I. 8. Yousefi F. 66. Maaali A. 88. Babaei E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Maaali A. 🟨,
22', Arasteh A. 🟨,
36', Arasteh A. ↓, Shojaei A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yousefi F. ↓, Ghanbari M. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Sefid M. ⚽, Ghanbari M. (A),
77', Farsi A. ↓, Zarouni H. ↑,
77', Moradi I. ↓, Ghezel A. ↑,
77', Taherkhani H. ↓, Arab F. ↑,
82', Hosseini E. 🟨,
83', Nariman S. ↓, Akbari Ranjbar M. ↑,
83', Komar N. ↓, Choubdari H. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Afkham A. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, Mehri S. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 8).

Mes Rafsanjan is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kheybar Khorramabad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mes Rafsanjan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Mes Rafsanjan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Kheybar Khorramabad	6	1	3	2	8:8	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
26.12.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.12.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 penalties ✺
Iran Pro League
15.12.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Foolad Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Malavan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran Pro League
27.12.25	Paykan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.12.25	Sepahan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:3 ✺
Iran Pro League
15.12.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1 ✺
04.12.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
18.08.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Mes Rafsanjan	3:2
15.05.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0
02.01.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Mes Rafsanjan	1:2
Iran Division 1
24.04.17	Kheybar Khorramabad - Mes Rafsanjan	1:1

Upcoming Matches