Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 22

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iran	Fars TV


	Fajr Sepasi		Shams Azar Qazvin

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.78	3.4
	2.27	2.73	3.4
	2.41	2.87	3.27	Watch
	2.36	2.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.3)	2.78 ↓ (2.81)	3.29 ↑ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
39.2%

Draw
32.9%

Shams Azar Qazvin
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

31.8%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

33.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Shams Azar Qazvin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Fajr Sepasi - Shams Azar Qazvin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Shams Azar Qazvin (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shams Azar Qazvin (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gholamzadeh A. (G) 17. Shahabi H. 12. Vosoughifard A. 15. Mousavi M. 21. Azhir M. 8. Esmaeili F. 6. Rigi M. 66. Motlaghzadeh M. 11. Moradi M. 19. Rostami Y. 9. Bozorg S.	1. Jafarpour A. (G) 33. Rabizadeh H. 3. Mohammadi M. 2. Nejad Mehdi M. 10. Mohkamkar A. 66. Azadeh M. 9. Fadakar S. 11. Shojaeian D. 17. Mamizadeh M. 8. Bahiraei H. 48. Sourgi M.
Substitutes
77. Babaei P. 3. Helichi A. 4. Jafarikia S. 30. Mohammadreza J. . Moradmand M. 14. Niknafs Z. 98. Rezaei A. (G) 78. Sharifi M. 7. Zare S.	80. Aghamohammadi M. 90. Ebrahimi A. 18. Goudarzi K. . Hosseini M. 88. Jelokhani Niaraki A. 12. Khaledabadi M. (G) 15. Kiani M. 16. Mansouri M. 71. Moazemitabar S. 13. Mohammadi M. 99. Zand A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Rigi M. 🟨,
18', Mohammadi M. 🟨,
24', Azhir M. 🟨,
42', Esmaeili F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Esmaeili F. ↓, Babaei P. ↑,
55', Bozorg S. ↓, Sharifi M. ↑,
70', Shahabi H. ↓, Niknafs Z. ↑,
70', Moradi M. ↓, Helichi A. ↑,
70', Rigi M. ↓, Mohammadreza J. ↑,
72', Sourgi M. ↓, Aghamohammadi M. ↑,
83', Shojaeian D. ↓, Zand A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Sharifi M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Bahiraei H. ↓, Mansouri M. ↑,
90+5', Fadakar S. ↓, Goudarzi K. ↑,
90+7', Gholamzadeh A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Fajr Sepasi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Fajr Sepasi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Fajr Sepasi	6	1	4	1	3:3	0	7
16	Shams Azar Qazvin	7	1	2	4	6:9	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Pro League
13.02.26	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Fajr Sepasi	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Fajr Sepasi - Tractor Sazi	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Zob Ahan - Fajr Sepasi	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Fajr Sepasi - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Fajr Sepasi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWLWL
- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Pro League
13.02.26	Shams Azar Qazvin - Aluminium Arak	0:0 ✺
05.02.26	Esteghlal - Shams Azar Qazvin	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Shams Azar Qazvin - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Paykan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Chadormalou Ardakan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
18.10.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Fajr Sepasi	0:1
Iran Division 1
25.02.23	Shams Azar Qazvin - Fajr Sepasi	3:1
28.09.22	Fajr Sepasi - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0

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