Match Info
Azadegan League - Round 15Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Mes Sungun |
|
Naft va Gaz Gachsaran |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.54 |
2.88 |
2.44 |
|
 |
2.60 |
3.01 |
2.70 |
 Watch |
 |
2.68 |
2.98 |
2.47 |
|
 |
2.71 |
3 |
2.45 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.6) |
2.97 ↓
(3.01) |
2.52 ↓
(2.7) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mes Sungun
34.1% | Draw
30.2% | Naft va Gaz Gachsaran
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mes Sungun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Naft va Gaz Gachsaran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Sungun than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft va Gaz Gachsaran than the current prediction. (-3.3%)Mes Sungun - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Nazari A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Mes Sungun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mes Sungun won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Mes Sungun won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Mes Sungun - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.38%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.07%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Iran Division 1 | | | 12.05.25 | Mes Sungun - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran | 2:0 | | 28.12.24 | Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Mes Sungun | 1:0 | | 02.05.24 | Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Mes Sungun | 0:0 | | 14.11.23 | Mes Sungun - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran | 1:1 |
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