Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran		Mes Kerman

	1	X	2
	3.06	2.20	3.20	Watch
	3	2.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.06)	2.23 ↑ (2.2)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naft va Gaz Gachsaran
29.9%

Draw
40.8%

Mes Kerman
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

41.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

40.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Naft va Gaz Gachsaran have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Mes Kerman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft va Gaz Gachsaran than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Kerman than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 13)

Naft Gachsaran is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mes Kerman's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Naft Gachsaran may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Naft Gachsaran won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Naft Gachsaran won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naft va Gaz Gachsaran
Iran Division 1
13.10.25	SaiPa - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	0:0 ✺
07.10.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Palayesh Naft	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Shahrdari Noshahr - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	3:1 ✺
24.09.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Pars Jonoubi Jam	0:1 ✺
18.09.25	Sanat Naft - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLLT
- Mes Kerman
Iran Division 1
25.10.25	Mes Kerman - Fard Alborz	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Mes Kerman	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Mes Kerman - Ario Eslamshahr	0:0 ✺
07.10.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Mes Kerman	1:0 ✺
30.09.25	Mes Kerman - Damash Gilan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
11.04.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Mes Kerman	0:0
16.11.24	Mes Kerman - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	2:1
15.02.24	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Mes Kerman	0:0
10.09.23	Mes Kerman - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	1:2

Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Mes Kerman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide