Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 20

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Agrano Vachadze Stadium (Ambrolauri)


	Meshakhte Tkibuli		Lokomotivi Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.65
	2.04	2.96	3.48
	2.00	2.90	4.13	Watch
	2.04	2.98	3.66
	1.85	2.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.93)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	3.78 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meshakhte Tkibuli
45.5%

Draw
30.6%

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

31.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

30.2%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meshakhte Tkibuli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meshakhte Tkibuli than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotivi Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Meshakhte Tkibuli - Lokomotivi Tbilisi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Labadze A. (G) 23. Shubitidze B. 20. Kurdadze L. 40. Ugrekhelidze L. 16. Gegia G. 7. Shonia T. 27. Phob E. 14. Jikia M. (C) 26. Gabiskiria B. 10. Ghurtskaia D. 8. Asamoah K.	1. Nanava L. (G) 16. Shashiashvili S. 24. Karimov M. 4. Bukia D. 22. Khositashvili V. 11. Kalandadze L. 10. Kekelidze L. (C) 6. Chileshe F. 9. Menteshashvili L. 19. Kokhreidze L. 36. Phiri B.
Substitutes
13. Burduli G. 21. Gugeshashvili Z. 30. Khorkheli A. 11. Natchkebia D. 9. Sherozia L. 4. Tereladze M. 29. Timi C. B. 1. Tkeshelashvili L. (G)	23. Archaia L. 38. Assaye D. 30. Dvalishvili S. 32. Gogatishvili G. 12. Khelashvili L. (G) 21. Kvelashvili N. 13. Metreveli L. 3. Molashvili T. 20. Todua G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Chileshe F. 🟨,
35', Gabiskiria B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Phob E. ↓, Natchkebia D. ↑,
65', Gegia G. ↓, Burduli G. ↑,
66', Kekelidze L. ↓, Assaye D. ↑,
67', Asamoah K. 🟨,
73', Ghurtskaia D. ↓, Sherozia L. ↑,
73', Gabiskiria B. ↓, Gugeshashvili Z. ↑,
77', Phiri B. ↓, Kvelashvili N. ↑,
83', Asamoah K. ↓, Timi C. B. ↑,
83', Menteshashvili L. ↓, Metreveli L. ↑,
83', Khositashvili V. ↓, Dvalishvili S. ↑,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Meshakhte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Meshakhte is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Meshakhte won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Meshakhte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meshakhte Tkibuli
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
17.08.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:0 ✺
11.08.25	Rustavi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Samtredia	4:0 ✺
Georgian Cup
26.07.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Merani Martvili	3:1 ✺
20.07.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Gagra	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TLWWW
- Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
18.08.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Gonio	1:1 ✺
11.08.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	4:2 ✺
04.08.25	Spaeri - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	3:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
26.07.25	Shturmi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
09.05.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:1
15.03.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:1

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