Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 25

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Agrano Vachadze Stadium (Ambrolauri)


	Meshakhte Tkibuli		Merani Martvili

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.51	4.33
	1.66	3.52	4.72
	1.96	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.96)	3.41 ↑ (3.2)	4.1 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meshakhte Tkibuli
51.2%

Draw
26.7%

Merani Martvili
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meshakhte Tkibuli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Meshakhte Tkibuli's performance.

Merani Martvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meshakhte Tkibuli than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Meshakhte Tkibuli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merani Martvili than the current prediction. (+5%)

Meshakhte Tkibuli - Merani Martvili Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Labadze A. (G) 26. Gabiskiria B. 40. Ugrekhelidze L. 33. Oduduwa M. 16. Gegia G. 5. Abuladze N. 14. Jikia M. (C) 10. Ghurtskaia D. 7. Shonia T. 21. Gugeshashvili Z. 29. Timi C. B.	1. Khamkhoev K. (G) 26. Shonia I. 25. Mala D. 29. Khaymanov I. 17. Gvasalia G. 4. Gagity R. 8. Kadaria L. 33. Laghadze B. (C) 10. Sikharulia Z. 2. Jalolov S. 7. Esonkulov J.
Substitutes
13. Burduli G. 30. Khorkheli A. 36. Kvelaidze L. 11. Natchkebia D. 27. Phob E. 17. Sartania G. 9. Sherozia L. 4. Tereladze M. 1. Tkeshelashvili L. (G)	14. Begalishvili L. 30. Bolotashvili D. 31. Chachava V. (G) 16. Gadilia L. 22. Khmelidze J. 40. Shamatava A. 18. Tsulaia S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Gugeshashvili Z. 🟨,
30', Timi C. B. 🟨,
32', Shonia I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Oduduwa M. ↓, Burduli G. ↑,
59', Gugeshashvili Z. ↓, Phob E. ↑,
61', Sikharulia Z. ↓, Tsulaia S. ↑,
61', Kadaria L. ↓, Shamatava A. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Esonkulov J. ⚽, Gvasalia G. (A),
71', Jikia M. ↓, Khorkheli A. ↑,
71', Timi C. B. ↓, Natchkebia D. ↑,
80', Gabiskiria B. ↓, Sherozia L. ↑,
84', Ghurtskaia D. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Meshakhte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Meshakhte could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Meshakhte won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Meshakhte won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meshakhte Tkibuli
Georgian Cup
23.09.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Iberia 1999	0:3 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
19.09.25	Iberia 1999 2 - Meshakhte Tkibuli	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Gonio - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Spaeri - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL
- Merani Martvili
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
20.09.25	Merani Martvili - Gonio	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Merani Martvili	1:1 ✺
11.09.25	Merani Martvili - Spaeri	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Merani Martvili	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Merani Martvili - Sioni Bolnisi	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Cup
26.07.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Merani Martvili	3:1
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
01.06.25	Merani Martvili - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:0
16.04.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Merani Martvili	1:2

Meshakhte Tkibuli - Merani Martvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide