Match Info

Date: 8 December 2021, Wednesday


	Mestre		Ambrosiana

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.75
	1.83	3.25	3.65
	1.76	3.33	3.87
	1.85	3.1	3.7
	1.79	3.38	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)	3.29 ↓ (3.33)	3.85 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mestre
49.6%

Draw
27.2%

Ambrosiana
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.6%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

18.2%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mestre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ambrosiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mestre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ambrosiana than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ambrosiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Mestre is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ambrosiana is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mestre is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mestre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mestre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Mestre
Italian Serie D - Group C
04.12.21	Union Clodiense - Mestre	2:0 ✺
28.11.21	Mestre - Campodarsego	0:3 ✺
21.11.21	San Martino Speme - Mestre	1:3 ✺
14.11.21	Mestre - Este	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Cattolica San Marino - Mestre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW
- GSD Ambrosiana
Italian Serie D - Group C
04.12.21	Ambrosiana - Caldiero Terme	1:4 ✺
28.11.21	Delta Porto Tolle - Ambrosiana	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Ambrosiana - Cartigliano	0:1 ✺
14.11.21	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Ambrosiana	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Montebelluna - Ambrosiana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
27.03.21	Mestre - Ambrosiana	0:1
31.10.20	Ambrosiana - Mestre	1:2
01.12.19	Ambrosiana - Mestre	3:0

Mestre - Ambrosiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide