Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 30

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Mestre		Brian Lignano

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.98	2.88
	2.4	3.05	2.88	Watch
	2.37	2.99	2.9
	2.16	2.96	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.16)	3 ↑ (2.96)	2.9 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mestre
38.9%

Draw
30.1%

Brian Lignano
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

31%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mestre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Brian Lignano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brian Lignano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Mestre - Brian Lignano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Mestre has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brian Lignano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mestre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mestre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Mestre	6	2	4	0	9:6	3	10
18	Brian Lignano	6	1	0	5	7:14	-7	3

Last Results with these Odds

Mestre - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 40.62%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Mestre
Italian Serie D - Group C
28.03.26	Union Clodiense - Mestre	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Mestre - Campodarsego	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Calvi Noale - Mestre	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Mestre - Adriese	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Bassano Virtus - Mestre	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWWL
- ASD Brian Lignano
Italian Serie D - Group C
29.03.26	Brian Lignano - Este	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	San Luigi - Brian Lignano	0:6 ✺
15.03.26	Brian Lignano - Conegliano	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Altavilla - Brian Lignano	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Brian Lignano - Obermais	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
23.11.25	Brian Lignano - Mestre	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie D
05.11.25	Mestre - Brian Lignano	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group C
09.03.25	Brian Lignano - Mestre	0:0
03.11.24	Mestre - Brian Lignano	1:2

Mestre - Brian Lignano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide