The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mestre 66.1%
Draw 22.4%
Adriese 11.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.5%
24.4%
12.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
23%
11.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mestre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Adriese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adriese than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Mestre - Adriese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mestre won 2.
Recent performances by Mestre have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Adriese is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Adriese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Mestre is the clear favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mestre won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Mestre won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
Watch
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